our president
May 29, 2008
May 22, 2008
May 21, 2008
how i wish i had been right
Why? Why didn't she concede last night? I understand she did very very well in Kentucky, but Obama now has the majority of the pledge delegates. She _cannot_ win in the pledged delegate contest. So instead of conceding, she comes up with a new, ridiculous argument: She's winning the popular vote. Apparently she uses Bush's "fuzzy math".
From Daily Kos:
Aside from the idiocy of the argument itself -- 1) this is a delegate race, and 2) unlike the 2000 presidential election, you can't compare the popular vote from contest to contest since each state has different rules (caucus or primaries, open, closed, or hybrid -- the way the Clinton campaign and its supporters shamelessly stretch this argument is almost embarrassing.
Clinton is "leading" the meaningless popular vote, but only if:
1. You count the unsanctioned contests in Florida and Michigan, where candidates were not allowed to campaign;
2. You give Obama zero votes in Michigan's Soviet-style election, where Clinton was essentially the only name on the ballot; and
3. You don't count the caucuses in Iowa, Nevada, Maine, and Washington.
What next, is she going to tell Kentuckians "Some have said your votes didn’t matter, that this campaign was over, that allowing everyone to vote and every vote to count would somehow be a mistake."? Oh wait, she did say that. Who the hell said that allowing every vote to count is a mistake? Who is she accusing of this? "Some"? The voices in her head?
Now, it’s especially sweet tonight because Kentucky has a knack for picking presidents. This state delivered two terms to a president named Clinton. And it’s often been said, as Kentucky goes, so goes the nation.
Really? Its been said often? That's new to me. Apparently so goes West Virginia, Ohio, Maine, Vermont, Google, and Steve Buscemi
May 20, 2008
will it be over tonight?
Barack Obama is holding his post-primary rally in Iowa tonight, not in Oregon which he is expected to win. Is this a sign that the campaign believes Hillary is going to concede tonight? It would be a great bookend to a long primary season, the state in which it all began. Hillary will enjoy her win in Kentucky, thank her supporters for a great win, and end her campaign on a high note. She'll go back to the senate with her head held high, graciously accepting defeat.
Sounds ideal to me...
May 15, 2008
this is promising
From CNN.com:
"I'm going to work my heart out for whoever our nominee is. Obviously, I'm still hoping to be that nominee, but I'm going to do everything I can to make sure that anyone who supported me ... understands what a grave error it would be not to vote for Sen. Obama."
Yay Hillary! That's the spirit! It's time to be gracious and offer help to repair this lengthy primary season. I predict that she concedes next Tuesday after the Kentucky/Oregon primary. She's looking for the appropriate exit, to leave on a high-note (Kentucky win) but an obvious indication that Obama is the nominee (his Oregon win)
May 14, 2008
our heroic commander-in-chief
Watch this video interview of Dubya explaining why he made his sacrifice for the Iraq war.
what a lil' trooper.
This is an ex-candidate
But Clinton, wearing a salmon-colored jacket and dark sunglasses, is all smiles as she boards the jet. She hugs and kisses her campaign chairman, Terry McAuliffe. Still grinning, she helps herself to a cracker with spread from the snack tray as the plane taxis to the runway. And why shouldn't she be happy? Within minutes, Clinton has crossed the Blue Ridge and is over the green hills of West Virginia, home of what she calls the "hardworking Americans, white Americans." This is Clinton Country.
A steep descent brings Clinton's plane to Charleston's hilltop airport. After an appropriate wait, she steps from the plane and pretends to wave to a crowd of supporters; in fact, she is waving to 10 photographers underneath the airplane's wing. She pretends to spot an old friend in the crowd, points and gives another wave; in fact, she is waving at an aide she had been talking with on the plane minutes earlier.
May 13, 2008
May 7, 2008
Update on the numbers
I got the numbers below this morning from CNN.com a little after 8am. As of 4pm the race has gotten even closer as a few counties still haven't completely reported in. At 4pm Clinton had 643,442 and Obama 629,029. Thats a difference of only 14,413 votes, 1.1%. I found two counties, Hancock and Hamilton are still reporting in, and while it probably won't give Obama the lead, it could tighten up even more. Hillary "won" Indiana, but really its a tie.
good effort indiana
A little over 20k votes seperated Obama from Clinton, out of the 1.25 million votes cast. That means she won by about 1.7%. Not exactly the victory she was looking for. She's going to end up with about 4 more delegates than him from Indiana, but he won 16 more delegates than she in North Carolina, winning that state by 15%.
She can't catch up by delegates alone. She would have to win all 6 of the remaining primaries by 86% to overtake Obama in delegate count. This is excluding superdelegates, which so far have been overwhelmingly going to Obama.
Obama has picked up 83 percent of the superdelegate endorsements since Super Tuesday, narrowing Clinton's superdelegate lead to 259-236, according to the latest tally by The Associated Press. Since Tuesday's primary, Obama has picked up three superdelegates and Clinton has added one.
and released by the AP today:
Since the Pennsylvania primary two weeks ago, Clinton has picked up 11.5 superdelegate endorsements to Obama's 22, according to an Associated Press count.
The superdelegate momentum is decidedly in favor of Obama, and its only expected to continue after last night's huge win for him in North Carolina and mathematical-tie in Indiana.
The only way she can get the nomination is by stealing it from Obama at the convention with a superdelegate rebellion. Is this really how we want our next president to be chosen?
May 6, 2008
todays the day
Ok Indiana, this is it. Today is the day to matter. I've complained a lot in the past about not having my vote count b/c I live in Indiana. Its a predominantly republican state, in the general elections Indiana is usually the first state called for the repubs. Our primary is so late that the nominee is picked way before its our turn.
Today is the day. Go Vote.
Obviously I would prefer that everyone votes for Barack Obama. Of all the TV commercials, radio ads and political flyers that I have come across his are predominantly positive, on the message and inspiring. Hillary's ads are almost all negative towards Obama or pandering. Ask yourself, who do you want to represent us? A negative, pandering president or a positive, inspiring president?
It really concerns me that people are buying into her Gas-Tax idea. It won't be passed this summer, and even if it were it would save most Americans $20-30 total. And then in the fall it will be reinstated and prices will go back up. Its pandering. Its finding a hot topic and appealing to the voters who are desperate for help. Temporarily halting the gas tax will not help the people of this country like she's letting on that it will. She needs to offer something that will actually help people, not just give her more free air-time.
Barack Obama wants to give the middle and lower-class citizens a $1000 tax credit.
From Obama's website:
Obama will cut income taxes by $1,000 for working families to offset the payroll tax they pay.
* Provide a Tax Cut for Working Families: Obama will restore fairness to the tax code and provide 150 million workers the tax relief they need. Obama will create a new "Making Work Pay" tax credit of up to $500 per person, or $1,000 per working family. The "Making Work Pay" tax credit will completely eliminate income taxes for 10 million Americans.
* Simplify Tax Filings for Middle Class Americans: Obama will dramatically simplify tax filings so that millions of Americans will be able to do their taxes in less than five minutes. Obama will ensure that the IRS uses the information it already gets from banks and employers to give taxpayers the option of pre-filled tax forms to verify, sign and return. Experts estimate that the Obama proposal will save Americans up to 200 million total hours of work and aggravation and up to $2 billion in tax preparer fees.
Just to make this clear $500 > $20-$30. $1000 > $20-$30.
The reason his plan isn't making all the news is b/c he isn't appealing to a hot-topic issue like gas prices. His plan is better for the American people, plan and simple.
May 5, 2008
Ted Sorensen on Barack Obama
Legendary speechwriter and adviser to President John F. Kennedy on why he supports Barack for President.
Barack Obama Endorsed by Zbigniew Brzezinski
Foreign Policy expert Brzezinski discusses his support of Barack Obama.
May 1, 2008
this is so cool!
Yay! Ian McKellen is going to play Gandalf in The Hobbit and the other unnamed project they're working on. I can't imagine anyone else playing Gandalf.
According to studio New Line, the first film will be an adaptation of The Hobbit and the second will be an original story focusing on the 60 years between the book and the beginning of the Rings trilogy.
"As to how it's going to work over two films and what going to happen on screen, well Guillermo has not got down to working out the major details yet - I can tell you it's going to be amazing though," Sir Ian said.
Tolkien never published anything based on the time between The Hobbit and The Lord of the Rings, this could either turn out very cool or turn off the die-hards. I hope they involve Tolkien's family in the script, J.R.R.'s son Christopher is still alive and was very involved in his father's work, I hope they use him as a resource.
I was really hoping the second movie was going to be based on The Silmarillion, which is a prequel of sorts, to put it mildly, of The Hobbit and LOTRs, but to make the whole book into one movie would be a tall order...
IGN.com has come up with some ideas, here are a few:
Sauron Returns to Mordor
First off, the big villain from LOTR. He never actually shows up in the flesh in The Hobbit - he's merely mentioned as 'the Necromancer' – but he's certainly busy behind-the-scenes. The dark lord begins The Hobbit in hiding in his fortress of Dul Guldur, in Mirkwood Forrest, building up his strength and already searching for The One Ring.
Gandalf and the White Council eventually decide to attack the 'stronghold of evil', and the wily wizard ensures that the siege coincides with the mission to kill Smaug (the main story of The Hobbit), to stop Sauron and the dragon teaming up. He is driven from Dol Guldur and returns to Mordor to begin preparing for war. The Hobbit filmmakers could also show the villain beginning to corrupt white wizard Saruman, which lead to the dissolution of the White Council (an alliance of various wizards, including Gandalf, Galadriel and Saruman and IGN UK fave Radagast the Brown).
Aragorn Back-story
A Hobbit/LOTR bridge-film would also give the filmmakers the chance to tell Aragorn's extensive back-story. Around 50 years before the war of the ring began, he was told about his heritage (next in line to the throne of Gondor), and the be-stubbled hero began to rove middle-earth. It was at this time he served in the armies of both Rohan and Gondor, fighting several battles and generally acting as a kind of warrior trouble-shooter for the increasingly embattled kingdoms of men, as Sauron's armies grew.
During this period he also fell in love with Arwen and met Gandalf for the first time, where together they guarded The Shire, suspecting the One Ring may be there. All-in-all, Viggo Mortensen – who has expressed a desire to reprise his role as the character – would have plenty to do.
Incidentally, I kinda predicted this back in December:
New Line and Peter Jackson settled their lawsuit and have agreed to make The Hobbit and an apparent sequal. Im guessing they're going to split The Hobbit into two movies... I suppose they could make a movie about Gandalf and co. chasing out the Necromancer, aka Sauron, from Mirkwood which happens during the timeline of The Hobbit, but Tolkien didn't really give that much back-story. I'd much rather see something taken out of the Silmarillion :) More about Feanor and the rings would be cool. The return of the elves from Valinor, etc..
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